Nakon problematiziranja produženja mandata EUFOR Althea misije u Bosni i Hercegovini od strane Ruske Federacije i najava da bi ona mogla staviti veto u Vijeću sigurnosti UN-a na obnavljanje mandata misije krajem ove godine, te podrške koju takvoj politici pruža jedan dio državnog vrha Bosne i Hercegovine, Bosna i Hercegovina je još jednom predmet geopolitičkih previranja i sukoba Zapada sa Rusijom.
Izostanak prisustva međunarodnih snaga u Bosni i Hercegovini bio bi opasan momenat po stabilnost i sigurnost, posebno u tradicionalno nestabilnom periodu kakav bude nakon održavanja Općih izbora. U tekstu ćemo govoriti o najnovijim izazovima s kojima se suočava misija EUFOR Althea, na međunarodnom i lokalnom nivou, te o mogućoj alternativi u slučaju da mandate misije ne bude produžen.
Ono što je neminovno, sudeći po reakcijama Zapada, a i mišljenju vojnih analitičara, je to da ne postoji opcija da će Bosna ostati bez pristustva međunarodnih snaga. Uprkos ranijim prijetnjama, male su šanse da Rusija spriječi produženje mirovne misije EUFOR-a, jer bi tako otvorila put NATO-u da uđe u BiH, protiv čega diže glas u svakom javnom nastupu. Čak je u Milorad Dodik, nakon sastanka sa operativnim komandantom EUFOR-ove misije Althea u BiH, izjavio da EUFOR i Althea imaju njegovu podršku. Predviđanja i mišljenja vojnih analitičara u vezi operacije Althea su ta da će i ruski stav na sjednici Vijeća sigurnosti UN-a ići u tom pravcu kako bi iz jednačine o obliku, misiji i snazi EUFOR-a u BiH izbacili Britance i Amerikance.
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